PnL (30d)

−$47

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

74%

91W / 32L · 21 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

98W / 44L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

144

across 59 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$1.02

avg win $3 · loss $8

Profit Factor

0.67

$94 won / $141 lost

Reward / Risk

0.43

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$12

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	74.0% 91W/32L	59	$1,560
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$17
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$17
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$17

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	94	0.185	$17.30	$0.47	+2.8%
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	20	0.720	$14.40	$-2.90	-16.8%
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	4	0.635	$2.54	$-0.55	-17.7%