| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
5,000 |
0.995 |
$4,975.00 |
$2,475.00 |
+99.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5,000 |
0.835 |
$4,174.68 |
$824.88 |
+24.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
3,501 |
0.976 |
$3,415.18 |
$579.41 |
+20.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
3,000 |
0.935 |
$2,805.00 |
$650.00 |
+30.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
3,000 |
0.855 |
$2,564.95 |
$607.19 |
+31.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.645 |
$1,934.80 |
$189.82 |
+10.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.855 |
$1,710.00 |
$210.00 |
+14.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.845 |
$1,690.01 |
$-85.00 |
-4.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.615 |
$1,537.35 |
$107.60 |
+7.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.745 |
$1,490.13 |
$154.29 |
+11.6% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.983 |
$1,473.75 |
$213.75 |
+17.0% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.964 |
$1,445.25 |
$226.43 |
+18.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.963 |
$1,443.75 |
$123.75 |
+9.4% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
2,000 |
0.715 |
$1,430.19 |
$395.40 |
+38.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.675 |
$1,350.00 |
$267.86 |
+24.8% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
1,500 |
0.715 |
$1,072.51 |
$305.36 |
+39.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
1,000 |
1.000 |
$999.65 |
$220.87 |
+28.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
1,250 |
0.785 |
$981.26 |
$81.22 |
+9.0% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? |
No |
1,001 |
0.974 |
$974.86 |
$553.19 |
+131.2% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.975 |
$974.50 |
$6.50 |
+0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.485 |
$969.95 |
$110.03 |
+12.8% |
| Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid? |
No |
980 |
0.982 |
$962.66 |
$56.39 |
+6.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
2,500 |
0.385 |
$962.50 |
$12.50 |
+1.3% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.962 |
$961.82 |
$358.28 |
+59.4% |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.955 |
$955.00 |
$15.00 |
+1.6% |