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Trader leaderboard/Biver52

Biver52

0xec829edacf53dad6fdfb89f752ca7b8004a26eaa
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$92
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$124
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
32W / 5L · 509 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
370W / 160L · 16 open
Trades (30d)
546
across 397 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$3.41
avg win $3 · loss $90
Profit Factor
0.49
$87 won / $179 lost
Reward / Risk
0.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,753 · all-time $18,299,126

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 92.2% 83W/7L 506 $2,152
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 43 $126
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 22 $128
₿ Crypto 7 $19
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $11
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $7
🔬 Science 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day? Yes 398 0.083 $32.83 $14.93 +83.4%
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day? Yes 103 0.287 $29.71 $28.91 +3606.3%
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive? Yes 200 0.116 $23.20 $15.00 +182.9%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? Yes 398 0.058 $23.08 $7.96 +52.7%
Japan recession in 2026? Yes 62 0.300 $18.60 $14.88 +400.0%
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 100 0.175 $17.50 $11.50 +191.7%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes 129 0.135 $17.42 $4.52 +35.0%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 100 0.165 $16.50 $7.50 +83.3%
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day? Yes 200 0.082 $16.30 $8.30 +103.8%
Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 192 0.083 $15.86 $10.94 +222.5%
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes 22 0.690 $15.38 $14.72 +2199.7%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? Yes 131 0.117 $15.37 $12.09 +367.7%
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? No 100 0.150 $15.05 $5.05 +50.5%
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? Yes 100 0.150 $15.00 $9.00 +150.0%
Tread FDV above $150M one day after launch Yes 100 0.140 $14.00 $4.00 +40.0%
Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day? Yes 82 0.165 $13.57 $13.29 +4801.9%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? Yes 100 0.135 $13.50 $3.50 +35.0%
Will Trump deport 500-600k people? Yes 100 0.132 $13.20 $8.20 +164.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? Yes 125 0.105 $13.12 $1.62 +14.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-12 House seat? No 200 0.065 $13.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-04 House seat? No 200 0.065 $13.00 $-1.00 -7.1%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-13 House seat? No 200 0.065 $13.00 $-3.00 -18.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-13 House seat? No 200 0.065 $13.00 $-3.00 -18.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the DE-AL House seat? No 200 0.065 $13.00 $-1.00 -7.1%
Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat? No 200 0.065 $13.00 $-1.00 -7.1%