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Trader

0xebefb7cc0454e73df8ee8602033e7c5331a78731
PnL (30d)
−$15
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$9
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
1W / 2L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
2W / 3L
Trades (30d)
5
across 5 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$4.93
avg win $2 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.13
$2 won / $17 lost
Reward / Risk
0.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $70,615

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 33.3% 1W/2L 5 $1,341
💵 Economy 1 $390

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 1,156 0.835 $965.16 $-46.84 -4.6%
New pandemic in 2026? No 831 0.935 $777.33 $25.34 +3.4%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 546 0.962 $525.31 $25.31 +5.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 487 0.945 $460.63 $50.33 +12.3%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 473 0.885 $418.78 $23.88 +6.0%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 430 0.935 $402.01 $19.88 +5.2%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 339 0.977 $331.42 $17.62 +5.6%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No 391 0.815 $318.84 $71.31 +28.8%
US military draft authorized in 2026? No 323 0.954 $307.81 $10.81 +3.6%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 271 0.905 $244.88 $14.88 +6.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 230 0.925 $212.64 $12.64 +6.3%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 341 0.595 $202.87 $2.87 +1.4%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No 208 0.925 $192.38 $2.38 +1.3%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 238 0.745 $177.50 $28.50 +19.1%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 179 0.855 $152.68 $2.68 +1.8%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No 161 0.835 $134.06 $9.06 +7.3%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No 142 0.820 $116.51 $16.51 +16.5%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 120 0.875 $105.00 $1.80 +1.7%
ECB rate cut in 2026? Yes 446 0.090 $40.10 $-64.37 -61.6%
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes 324 0.095 $30.76 $-50.68 -62.2%