PnL (30d)

+$14

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

73%

59W / 22L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

73%

61W / 22L

Trades (30d)

83

across 13 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$1.20

avg win $3 · loss $20

Profit Factor

1.73

$34 won / $20 lost

Reward / Risk

0.16

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.7% 687W/134L	359	$27,639
₿ Crypto	92.9% 26W/2L	21	$594
🎬 Culture	27.3% 3W/8L	3	$577
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/8L	2	$516
🌤 Weather	11.1% 1W/8L	2	$252
💵 Economy	—	1	$100

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	154	0.998	$153.93	$3.93	+2.6%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?	No	169	0.805	$135.64	$-14.36	-9.6%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 5?	No	102	0.989	$100.92	$0.92	+0.9%