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Trader leaderboard/50kcasestudy

50kcasestudy

0xeb54562f0132336a725d1303f6110136161dd452
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$220
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+7.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
39%
12W / 19L
Win Return (30d)
39%
12W / 19L
Trades (30d)
31
across 26 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$8.47
avg win $117 · loss $71
Profit Factor
1.21
$1,283 won / $1,063 lost
Reward / Risk
1.65
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$130
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $612,346

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.8% 233W/87L 166 $6,044
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/3L 2 $299

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

56 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 109 0.635 $69.53 $-8.83 -11.3%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 75 0.853 $64.23 $5.71 +9.8%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? No 115 0.485 $55.58 $6.30 +12.8%
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No 59 0.895 $53.16 $3.86 +7.8%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 119 0.440 $52.51 $-7.16 -12.0%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No 55 0.948 $52.37 $3.23 +6.6%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No 51 0.978 $49.66 $0.41 +0.8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 50 0.986 $49.27 $-0.23 -0.5%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? No 50 0.980 $49.22 $-0.28 -0.6%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No 59 0.831 $49.12 $-0.18 -0.4%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No 53 0.917 $48.57 $-1.35 -2.7%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No 55 0.875 $48.32 $-0.28 -0.6%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? No 51 0.953 $48.11 $-0.89 -1.8%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No 57 0.835 $47.85 $-1.43 -2.9%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No 53 0.883 $46.99 $-1.89 -3.9%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No 55 0.835 $46.09 $-3.59 -7.2%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 79 0.535 $42.40 $-6.74 -13.7%
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No 54 0.740 $39.71 $10.39 +35.4%
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No 133 0.255 $33.98 $-15.42 -31.2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 29 0.955 $27.37 $3.01 +12.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No 28 0.987 $27.24 $2.94 +12.1%
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? No 27 0.996 $26.49 $2.31 +9.6%
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? Yes 28 0.941 $25.96 $1.39 +5.7%
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No 26 0.974 $25.31 $0.87 +3.6%
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 26 0.974 $25.31 $0.66 +2.7%