PnL (30d)

+$193

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$80

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+78.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

2W / 2L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

73%

8W / 3L

Trades (30d)

11

across 10 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$64.22

avg win $365 · loss $86

Profit Factor

2.11

$365 won / $173 lost

Reward / Risk

4.23

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$173

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	50.0% 2W/2L	10	$1,463
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	6	$169
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$118
🌤 Weather	—	1	$90
🔬 Science	—	1	$90

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	38	0.330	$12.70	$-10.00	-44.1%
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	100	0.055	$5.50	$-6.50	-54.2%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	690	0.004	$2.41	$-1.03	-30.0%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-43.70	-99.5%