Trader
0xeae990e1bbd22fe002045eb367958659a100d1c4
PnL (30d)
−$3
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
15W / 15L · 24 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
17W / 21L · 16 open
Trades (30d)
54
across 35 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.13
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.45
$2 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
0.34
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $105 · all-time $14,279
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on August 5? |
No |
90 |
0.997 |
$89.73 |
$-0.18 |
-0.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.988 |
$3.00 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.999 |
$2.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
2 |
0.968 |
$1.99 |
$-0.01 |
-0.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
2 |
0.695 |
$1.67 |
$-0.33 |
-16.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 5? |
No |
2 |
0.999 |
$1.59 |
$0.04 |
+2.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
2 |
0.835 |
$1.31 |
$0.01 |
+0.6% |
| Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.984 |
$1.00 |
$-0.00 |
-0.3% |
| China coup attempt before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.970 |
$0.99 |
$-0.01 |
-0.8% |