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Trader leaderboard/davpol

davpol

0xeae1c93c8ba5ded36a6be65043c3d62b3ed665ec
PnL (30d)
−$635
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-23.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
27%
137W / 364L · 135 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
229W / 407L
Trades (30d)
636
across 59 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
−$15.12
avg win $12 · loss $29
Profit Factor
0.20
$163 won / $798 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$136
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $168 · all-time $196,856

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 27.3% 137W/364L 59 $2,683
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/17L 4 $144
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/8L 1 $62

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

42 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 818 0.645 $527.87 $34.82 +7.1%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 275 0.865 $237.60 $15.10 +6.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 282 0.835 $235.11 $-7.92 -3.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 255 0.540 $137.61 $-13.43 -8.9%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 94 0.865 $81.12 $5.04 +6.6%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 28 0.854 $23.98 $-0.79 -3.2%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 21 0.885 $18.85 $1.17 +6.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 54 0.278 $15.07 $1.29 +9.3%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 18 0.742 $13.71 $-0.18 -1.3%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 14 0.905 $12.69 $1.14 +9.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 78 0.135 $10.52 $0.19 +1.8%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 34 0.298 $10.08 $1.50 +17.5%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 204 0.044 $9.07 $-0.38 -4.0%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 15 0.603 $8.99 $-1.42 -13.6%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 101 0.086 $8.63 $1.54 +21.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat? Yes 77 0.085 $6.54 $-21.03 -76.3%
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes 7 0.905 $6.26 $1.00 +19.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 6 0.909 $5.22 $-0.23 -4.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 6 0.785 $5.03 $3.94 +361.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? Yes 6 0.825 $4.93 $2.75 +126.1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 61 0.065 $3.97 $-2.23 -36.0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 4 0.978 $3.88 $0.04 +1.1%
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? No 22 0.115 $2.56 $-5.68 -68.9%
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes 32 0.081 $2.55 $-1.86 -42.2%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No 3 0.735 $2.53 $1.43 +129.7%