PnL (30d)

−$107

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$29

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-75.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 3L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

0%

0W / 18L

Trades (30d)

18

across 3 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$53.32

· loss $53

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $107 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$4

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.9% 24W/49L	49	$2,941
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$38
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$38
🏛 Politics	—	1	$20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	603	0.236	$142.66	$-53.28	-27.2%
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	400	0.135	$54.00	$-54.00	-50.0%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	400	0.125	$50.00	$18.00	+56.2%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	3,955	0.011	$43.50	$-93.87	-68.3%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?	Yes	205	0.186	$38.23	$-23.06	-37.6%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	200	0.125	$25.00	$5.00	+25.0%
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?	Yes	200	0.105	$21.00	$3.00	+16.7%
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	150	0.135	$20.25	$9.75	+92.9%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	200	0.095	$19.00	$1.00	+5.6%
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	Yes	300	0.055	$16.50	$-4.50	-21.4%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?	Yes	1,000	0.013	$13.50	$-36.47	-73.0%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	Yes	300	0.038	$11.55	$-3.45	-23.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	400	0.028	$11.00	$-9.00	-45.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	400	0.027	$10.80	$-3.60	-25.0%
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	Yes	272	0.026	$7.20	$-11.04	-60.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	Yes	200	0.025	$5.00	$-28.99	-85.3%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	200	0.020	$4.00	$-5.80	-59.2%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?	Yes	100	0.009	$0.90	$-18.10	-95.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	100	0.002	$0.15	$-3.65	-96.1%
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	59	0.002	$0.09	$-5.85	-98.5%