| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
200 |
0.775 |
$155.00 |
$-3.00 |
-1.9% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
200 |
0.745 |
$149.00 |
$-2.00 |
-1.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
200 |
0.695 |
$138.98 |
$-20.02 |
-12.6% |
| Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title? |
No |
136 |
0.845 |
$114.74 |
$-5.52 |
-4.6% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.555 |
$111.00 |
$-23.00 |
-17.2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
200 |
0.545 |
$109.00 |
$-30.00 |
-21.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
211 |
0.515 |
$108.43 |
$-1.19 |
-1.1% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
100 |
0.923 |
$92.31 |
$-3.10 |
-3.2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? |
No |
100 |
0.908 |
$90.85 |
$-2.25 |
-2.4% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.895 |
$89.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.6% |
| Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? |
No |
100 |
0.865 |
$86.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.6% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.855 |
$85.50 |
$-0.50 |
-0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
100 |
0.840 |
$84.00 |
$-3.00 |
-3.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.835 |
$83.50 |
$-0.50 |
-0.6% |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? |
No |
100 |
0.807 |
$80.70 |
$-10.50 |
-11.5% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.745 |
$74.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.7% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
100 |
0.685 |
$68.49 |
$0.50 |
+0.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.645 |
$64.51 |
$-0.50 |
-0.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.615 |
$61.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.8% |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? |
Yes |
100 |
0.556 |
$55.60 |
$-1.10 |
-1.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? |
Yes |
61 |
0.915 |
$55.39 |
$-0.91 |
-1.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
100 |
0.455 |
$45.50 |
$-13.50 |
-22.9% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.455 |
$45.50 |
$-13.50 |
-22.9% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.410 |
$41.00 |
$-17.00 |
-29.3% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
100 |
0.395 |
$39.50 |
$0.50 |
+1.3% |