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Trader leaderboard/0x0820-4

0x0820-4

0xea12c83bb04d6b15a534374ea0c775d57d84993b
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$167
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$9
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
3,159W / 3,471L · 358 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
3,281W / 3,497L · 210 open
Trades (30d)
6,988
across 963 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$0.23
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.75
$497 won / $665 lost
Reward / Risk
0.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$190
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $67,635 · all-time $3,051,122

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.1% 17,257W/15,891L 3899 $106,453
🌤 Weather 45.0% 2,173W/2,658L 706 $16,174

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5? No 54 0.775 $41.87 $9.06 +27.6%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? No 41 0.895 $36.60 $2.47 +7.2%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5? Yes 38 0.810 $30.71 $5.65 +22.6%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 5? No 21 1.000 $21.13 $6.28 +42.3%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 5? No 32 0.610 $19.52 $-1.12 -5.4%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 5? No 25 0.765 $18.98 $0.36 +1.9%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? Yes 25 0.725 $18.23 $4.37 +31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5? No 24 0.745 $17.88 $2.36 +15.2%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 5? Yes 24 0.715 $16.93 $7.81 +85.6%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 5? No 17 0.985 $16.75 $0.60 +3.7%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5? Yes 16 0.995 $16.16 $0.55 +3.5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5? No 21 0.770 $15.94 $-0.72 -4.3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? No 18 0.845 $15.31 $3.43 +28.9%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 5? No 24 0.555 $13.32 $-0.68 -4.9%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? No 16 0.810 $12.95 $0.64 +5.2%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 5? No 16 0.795 $12.72 $0.64 +5.3%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5? No 13 0.955 $12.69 $0.14 +1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5? No 14 0.890 $12.46 $1.57 +14.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 5? No 12 1.000 $12.44 $5.14 +70.4%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5? Yes 55 0.225 $12.29 $-9.42 -43.4%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? No 25 0.490 $12.25 $-3.70 -23.2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? Yes 12 1.000 $12.18 $4.85 +66.2%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? Yes 12 1.000 $11.80 $1.72 +17.1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? Yes 22 0.510 $11.46 $2.72 +31.2%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5? No 27 0.420 $11.16 $-1.54 -12.1%