Trader
0xe9f2c2ffc2c23f781afa7dfed2bb06380804ddd0
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$376
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$47
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+37.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
6W / 2L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
72%
21W / 8L
Trades (30d)
29
across 9 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$75.21
avg win $132 · loss $10
Profit Factor
20.48
$395 won / $19 lost
Reward / Risk
13.66
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,922 · all-time $1,094,375
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
1,110 |
0.215 |
$238.65 |
$-205.85 |
-46.3% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.770 |
$76.99 |
$-1.00 |
-1.3% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
220 |
0.255 |
$56.10 |
$-24.90 |
-30.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? |
Yes |
114 |
0.345 |
$39.40 |
$2.84 |
+7.8% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? |
No |
48 |
0.540 |
$25.79 |
$6.21 |
+31.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? |
Yes |
45 |
0.255 |
$11.47 |
$1.62 |
+16.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.034 |
$0.16 |
$-0.13 |
-44.2% |