| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
56 |
0.835 |
$46.76 |
$2.07 |
+4.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
59 |
0.625 |
$37.19 |
$-6.13 |
-14.1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
39 |
0.715 |
$27.58 |
$-1.97 |
-6.7% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.984 |
$14.02 |
$0.15 |
+1.1% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.875 |
$13.88 |
$3.98 |
+40.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
38 |
0.350 |
$13.36 |
$-3.61 |
-21.3% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? |
No |
14 |
0.945 |
$13.05 |
$0.07 |
+0.5% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
15 |
0.715 |
$10.52 |
$1.40 |
+15.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.443 |
$8.71 |
$-1.82 |
-17.3% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.955 |
$7.30 |
$0.27 |
+3.8% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
9 |
0.735 |
$6.56 |
$1.47 |
+28.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
17 |
0.375 |
$6.36 |
$1.20 |
+23.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
35 |
0.155 |
$5.44 |
$0.75 |
+16.0% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.970 |
$4.45 |
$0.26 |
+6.2% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
No |
5 |
0.905 |
$4.16 |
$-0.07 |
-1.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
35 |
0.117 |
$4.10 |
$-1.15 |
-21.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.557 |
$3.47 |
$-0.13 |
-3.7% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
353 |
0.009 |
$3.00 |
$-0.18 |
-5.5% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? |
No |
3 |
0.974 |
$2.81 |
$0.09 |
+3.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
Yes |
10 |
0.125 |
$1.31 |
$-0.16 |
-10.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
7 |
0.185 |
$1.23 |
$-1.03 |
-45.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2 |
0.455 |
$1.00 |
$-0.17 |
-14.1% |