PnL (30d)

−$75

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

1W / 2L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

2W / 2L

Trades (30d)

4

across 3 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$37.69

avg win $8 · loss $83

Profit Factor

0.10

$8 won / $83 lost

Reward / Risk

0.10

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.3% 1W/2L	3	$27
🏛 Politics	—	1	$1

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	126	0.060	$7.55	$-15.90	-67.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25	0.085	$2.12	$-6.37	-75.0%
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	50	0.037	$1.88	$-1.12	-37.5%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	484	0.003	$1.45	$-16.70	-92.0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	64	0.015	$0.93	$-0.10	-9.4%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	14	0.059	$0.80	$-0.20	-19.9%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10	0.075	$0.75	$-1.25	-62.5%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	139	0.004	$0.55	$-0.85	-60.6%
Ledger IPO before 2027?	Yes	5	0.105	$0.53	$-2.52	-82.8%
Databricks IPO before 2027?	Yes	5	0.085	$0.42	$-2.73	-86.5%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	18	0.015	$0.27	$0.22	+399.9%
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	Yes	10	0.026	$0.27	$-4.13	-94.0%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50	0.004	$0.17	$-0.92	-84.1%