| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
4,350 |
0.710 |
$3,088.36 |
$-168.14 |
-5.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
3,250 |
0.435 |
$1,413.94 |
$-515.17 |
-26.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
1,500 |
0.930 |
$1,395.31 |
$248.28 |
+21.6% |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,974 |
0.615 |
$1,213.95 |
$-110.35 |
-8.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
798 |
0.945 |
$754.07 |
$166.64 |
+28.4% |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
924 |
0.805 |
$743.82 |
$-34.43 |
-4.4% |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
854 |
0.740 |
$631.89 |
$-3.17 |
-0.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
500 |
0.835 |
$417.50 |
$2.50 |
+0.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
400 |
0.885 |
$353.98 |
$61.36 |
+21.0% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,116 |
0.310 |
$345.87 |
$-191.64 |
-35.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
500 |
0.405 |
$202.50 |
$-2.50 |
-1.2% |
| Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
35 |
0.927 |
$32.46 |
$-0.79 |
-2.4% |