| Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
9 |
0.964 |
$8.78 |
$-0.05 |
-0.6% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.971 |
$8.12 |
$0.09 |
+1.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
9 |
0.930 |
$8.11 |
$0.09 |
+1.1% |
| Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.979 |
$7.93 |
$0.07 |
+0.9% |
| Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? |
Yes |
8 |
0.938 |
$7.76 |
$-0.26 |
-3.3% |
| Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.949 |
$7.72 |
$-0.09 |
-1.2% |
| Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
8 |
0.950 |
$7.59 |
$-0.08 |
-1.1% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
No |
8 |
0.945 |
$7.42 |
$0.85 |
+12.9% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? |
No |
7 |
0.985 |
$7.14 |
$0.54 |
+8.2% |
| Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? |
No |
7 |
1.000 |
$7.08 |
$0.67 |
+10.4% |
| Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
7 |
1.000 |
$6.92 |
$0.21 |
+3.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
7 |
0.955 |
$6.58 |
$-0.03 |
-0.5% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting? |
No |
7 |
0.989 |
$6.57 |
$0.39 |
+6.3% |
| Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? |
No |
7 |
0.965 |
$6.33 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |
| Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09? |
Yes |
7 |
0.971 |
$6.32 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.993 |
$6.25 |
$0.21 |
+3.4% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.968 |
$6.17 |
$0.05 |
+0.8% |
| Will Diana Onyeijaka be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? |
No |
6 |
0.956 |
$6.15 |
$-0.03 |
-0.4% |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? |
No |
6 |
0.971 |
$6.05 |
$0.07 |
+1.1% |
| Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? |
Yes |
6 |
0.977 |
$5.81 |
$0.04 |
+0.7% |
| Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
8 |
0.740 |
$5.80 |
$-0.86 |
-12.9% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
6 |
0.980 |
$5.45 |
$0.11 |
+2.0% |
| Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? |
Yes |
6 |
0.970 |
$5.39 |
$-0.03 |
-0.5% |
| Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
Yes |
6 |
0.974 |
$5.36 |
$0.02 |
+0.4% |
| Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.984 |
$5.36 |
$0.13 |
+2.5% |