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Trader leaderboard/Simon4s

Simon4s

0xe8a68017820cc850b4d13cfd8a165eb438b4644b
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$103
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$58
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 15L · 71 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
61W / 25L
Trades (30d)
86
across 8 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
−$51.31
· loss $51
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $103 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $555 · all-time $6,621,951

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.1% 605W/474L 147 $18,943
⚽ Sports 6 $195
🏛 Politics 60.0% 3W/2L 4 $480
🤖 Tech 4 $436
💵 Economy 3 $101
🎬 Culture 60.0% 3W/2L 2 $46
🌤 Weather 2 $108
🔬 Science 2 $108

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

111 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 59,500 0.790 $47,034.75 $17,284.75 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 59,500 0.209 $12,465.25 $-17,284.75 -58.1%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 526 0.955 $501.90 $38.16 +8.2%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026? No 455 0.705 $320.79 $-1.96 -0.6%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? Yes 500 0.590 $294.99 $-114.79 -28.0%
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 370 0.795 $294.38 $44.49 +17.8%
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record? Yes 317 0.850 $269.05 $123.34 +84.6%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 273 0.932 $254.77 $3.46 +1.4%
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? No 257 0.847 $217.77 $42.48 +24.2%
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Mayweather 400 0.515 $206.00 $-9.00 -4.2%
Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next? No 171 0.977 $166.72 $10.45 +6.7%
Canada's population Up or Down this year? Down 206 0.795 $163.99 $6.75 +4.3%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 183 0.895 $163.76 $4.40 +2.8%
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Pacquiao 300 0.485 $145.49 $21.50 +17.3%
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next? Yes 144 0.963 $138.28 $76.25 +122.9%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? No 150 0.880 $132.00 $12.00 +10.0%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 135 0.972 $131.16 $3.97 +3.1%
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $7.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? No 293 0.389 $113.74 $21.72 +23.6%
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes 200 0.335 $67.00 $-39.00 -36.8%
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes 200 0.325 $65.00 $-31.00 -32.3%
Over $140B wagered on US sports betting in 2026? Yes 90 0.690 $62.09 $-14.71 -19.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 73 0.805 $58.87 $45.12 +328.1%
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? No 50 0.958 $47.86 $3.12 +7.0%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Yes 100 0.460 $46.00 $6.67 +16.9%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No 47 0.956 $44.64 $12.89 +40.6%