PnL (30d)

−$39

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-16.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

71W / 147L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

31%

71W / 156L

Trades (30d)

227

across 64 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.61

avg win $6 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.72

$100 won / $139 lost

Reward / Risk

1.81

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$22

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.6% 71W/147L	64	$379
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/5L	3	$17
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/9L	3	$12
🎬 Culture	—	1	$9
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/4L	1	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	172	0.025	$4.21	$-1.49	-26.1%