| Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? |
No |
226 |
0.725 |
$164.18 |
$16.08 |
+10.9% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
62 |
0.845 |
$52.80 |
$1.10 |
+2.1% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
No |
47 |
0.954 |
$45.19 |
$11.19 |
+32.9% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
No |
63 |
0.540 |
$34.12 |
$-0.88 |
-2.5% |
| Don Lemon sentenced to prison? |
No |
35 |
0.951 |
$33.74 |
$5.74 |
+20.5% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
35 |
0.905 |
$31.35 |
$10.35 |
+49.3% |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.940 |
$29.47 |
$2.38 |
+8.8% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
33 |
0.820 |
$27.41 |
$2.41 |
+9.6% |
| Tim Walz in jail by December 31? |
No |
29 |
0.945 |
$27.04 |
$0.04 |
+0.1% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
27 |
0.735 |
$19.79 |
$-0.21 |
-1.0% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
21 |
0.935 |
$19.72 |
$6.62 |
+50.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.957 |
$19.70 |
$1.11 |
+6.0% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
50 |
0.365 |
$18.25 |
$10.25 |
+128.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.735 |
$18.09 |
$2.39 |
+15.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
18 |
0.935 |
$16.40 |
$3.40 |
+26.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.963 |
$14.79 |
$0.79 |
+5.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.850 |
$11.83 |
$1.83 |
+18.3% |
| Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.775 |
$11.70 |
$0.70 |
+6.4% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? |
Yes |
28 |
0.410 |
$11.33 |
$-2.18 |
-16.1% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.895 |
$10.65 |
$0.65 |
+6.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
25 |
0.414 |
$10.48 |
$-0.07 |
-0.7% |
| SPLC found guilty in 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.400 |
$9.89 |
$-7.07 |
-41.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.750 |
$9.69 |
$-0.31 |
-3.1% |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.945 |
$9.40 |
$1.40 |
+17.6% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
34 |
0.278 |
$9.40 |
$5.40 |
+135.1% |