PnL (30d)

+$167

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$52

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

1%

10W / 762L · 7,180 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

2,976W / 4,976L

Trades (30d)

7,952

across 35 markets · ~227 per market

EV / position

+$41.72

avg win $150 · loss $67

Profit Factor

2.25

$300 won / $133 lost

Reward / Risk

2.25

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	1.3% 10W/762L	60	$45,465
🏛 Politics	—	22	$6,706
₿ Crypto	—	10	$1,268
💵 Economy	—	4	$1,022
⚽ Sports	—	4	$530
🎬 Culture	—	3	$282
🤖 Tech	—	2	$512
🔬 Science	—	1	$481

Open positions

59 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	42,939	0.037	$1,610.21	$-334.50	-17.2%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	28,643	0.040	$1,131.41	$-59.89	-5.0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	24,793	0.029	$731.40	$43.09	+6.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	5,468	0.125	$683.54	$-150.02	-18.0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	90,065	0.006	$585.42	$-137.89	-19.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25,346	0.018	$468.91	$-122.12	-20.7%
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	18,082	0.025	$459.29	$-118.33	-20.5%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5,563	0.080	$445.04	$-127.50	-22.3%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	4,429	0.095	$420.72	$-2.18	-0.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	22,238	0.018	$411.40	$26.44	+6.9%
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	6,272	0.065	$407.71	$-65.29	-13.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	16,403	0.025	$401.86	$-89.25	-18.2%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	8,082	0.045	$363.69	$-266.63	-42.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15,967	0.022	$359.26	$-24.14	-6.3%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	11,040	0.033	$358.79	$69.79	+24.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2,855	0.117	$332.59	$-15.47	-4.4%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	337	0.910	$307.12	$6.25	+2.1%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	18,251	0.017	$301.14	$-163.18	-35.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	7,125	0.041	$288.55	$-76.44	-20.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	13,418	0.021	$287.15	$-11.55	-3.9%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	37,330	0.007	$279.98	$-65.93	-19.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	301	0.911	$274.02	$-0.96	-0.3%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	3,551	0.075	$266.32	$-101.66	-27.6%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	17,200	0.015	$258.00	$-26.68	-9.4%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	11,156	0.021	$238.73	$-47.91	-16.7%