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Trader leaderboard/f3ita

f3ita

0xe7889e994282bb732c2fc44861300fa0d2c3736b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$342
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$92
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-23.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
7%
4W / 51L · 862 open
Win Return (30d)
3%
10W / 385L · 522 open
Trades (30d)
917
across 16 markets · ~57 per market
EV / position
−$85.54
avg win $3 · loss $115
Profit Factor
0.01
$3 won / $345 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$86
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $574 · all-time $1,997,289

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 2.9% 12W/402L 39 $26,774
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/5L 7 $809
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/5L 3 $486
🎬 Culture 1 $66

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

26 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 604 0.883 $533.88 $37.99 +7.7%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 39,880 0.011 $418.74 $59.82 +16.7%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 44,921 0.009 $381.83 $-48.33 -11.2%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 407 0.500 $203.68 $-8.15 -3.8%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 200 0.968 $193.48 $14.60 +8.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No 200 0.865 $172.99 $2.00 +1.2%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,297 0.075 $172.24 $-34.45 -16.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 784 0.184 $144.56 $-53.80 -27.1%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 142 0.905 $128.64 $19.27 +17.6%
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 150 0.665 $99.75 $-27.75 -21.8%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 110 0.865 $95.12 $2.75 +3.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes 123 0.655 $80.32 $-5.74 -6.7%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes 606 0.085 $51.53 $-3.03 -5.6%
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 4,513 0.007 $33.84 $-6.77 -16.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 38 0.825 $31.43 $-0.95 -2.9%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 24 0.875 $20.96 $0.36 +1.7%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 6,713 0.003 $16.78 $-30.21 -64.3%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,543 0.003 $13.86 $-24.94 -64.3%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? No 18 0.485 $8.70 $-2.12 -19.6%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 15 0.490 $7.35 $-3.75 -33.8%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 12 0.445 $5.48 $-0.18 -3.3%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,862 0.003 $4.66 $-4.66 -50.0%
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 39 0.065 $2.53 $-3.70 -59.4%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes 51 0.046 $2.34 $-1.32 -36.1%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 54 0.040 $2.15 $-2.46 -53.4%