| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
2,017 |
0.885 |
$1,785.43 |
$157.47 |
+9.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,313 |
0.775 |
$1,017.42 |
$39.79 |
+4.1% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
Yes |
548 |
0.595 |
$325.90 |
$54.59 |
+20.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? |
No |
378 |
0.635 |
$240.15 |
$31.88 |
+15.3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
404 |
0.545 |
$220.18 |
$20.82 |
+10.4% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
340 |
0.560 |
$190.27 |
$-4.23 |
-2.2% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
870 |
0.195 |
$169.71 |
$19.67 |
+13.1% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
396 |
0.425 |
$168.24 |
$-7.64 |
-4.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
318 |
0.455 |
$144.71 |
$-8.90 |
-5.8% |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? |
No |
234 |
0.545 |
$127.79 |
$7.12 |
+5.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? |
No |
143 |
0.855 |
$122.13 |
$51.42 |
+72.7% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? |
No |
205 |
0.570 |
$116.58 |
$-1.56 |
-1.3% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.375 |
$112.04 |
$30.70 |
+37.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
433 |
0.259 |
$111.95 |
$-12.50 |
-10.0% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? |
No |
105 |
0.960 |
$100.79 |
$3.15 |
+3.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
324 |
0.305 |
$98.74 |
$9.41 |
+10.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
105 |
0.940 |
$98.70 |
$27.75 |
+39.1% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
426 |
0.230 |
$97.98 |
$6.02 |
+6.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
140 |
0.675 |
$94.50 |
$15.05 |
+18.9% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? |
No |
337 |
0.275 |
$92.77 |
$-78.30 |
-45.8% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? |
No |
97 |
0.900 |
$87.61 |
$2.68 |
+3.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.967 |
$82.92 |
$3.13 |
+3.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? |
No |
172 |
0.435 |
$75.00 |
$-6.04 |
-7.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
637 |
0.117 |
$74.22 |
$-13.91 |
-15.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
78 |
0.900 |
$70.21 |
$31.09 |
+79.5% |