| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? |
No |
12 |
0.765 |
$9.33 |
$-0.67 |
-6.7% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
Yes |
8 |
0.889 |
$7.46 |
$-0.54 |
-6.7% |
| Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
No |
9 |
0.840 |
$7.15 |
$-0.85 |
-10.6% |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? |
Yes |
9 |
0.765 |
$6.82 |
$0.57 |
+9.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? |
No |
7 |
0.964 |
$6.67 |
$0.16 |
+2.5% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.845 |
$6.60 |
$1.60 |
+32.0% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
6 |
0.965 |
$6.18 |
$1.18 |
+23.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
7 |
0.865 |
$6.11 |
$0.11 |
+1.8% |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? |
No |
9 |
0.715 |
$6.10 |
$-0.90 |
-12.8% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.976 |
$6.02 |
$0.02 |
+0.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.675 |
$5.72 |
$0.72 |
+14.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.852 |
$5.58 |
$0.58 |
+11.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.845 |
$5.56 |
$0.56 |
+11.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? |
Yes |
6 |
0.905 |
$5.26 |
$0.26 |
+5.2% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.755 |
$5.24 |
$0.24 |
+4.9% |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.770 |
$5.20 |
$0.20 |
+4.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.765 |
$5.03 |
$0.03 |
+0.7% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.998 |
$5.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.993 |
$4.99 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.889 |
$4.93 |
$-0.07 |
-1.4% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
5 |
0.943 |
$4.92 |
$-0.08 |
-1.6% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.625 |
$4.88 |
$-0.12 |
-2.3% |
| Will Jalen Duren play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? |
No |
5 |
0.967 |
$4.84 |
$-0.16 |
-3.2% |
| Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.635 |
$4.81 |
$-0.19 |
-3.8% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
16 |
0.298 |
$4.78 |
$-0.22 |
-4.3% |