| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,315 |
0.685 |
$900.60 |
$346.49 |
+62.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,024 |
0.845 |
$865.23 |
$79.84 |
+10.2% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
1,035 |
0.735 |
$761.04 |
$67.30 |
+9.7% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
804 |
0.875 |
$703.24 |
$68.31 |
+10.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,228 |
0.491 |
$602.91 |
$-50.17 |
-7.7% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
734 |
0.585 |
$429.40 |
$-62.39 |
-12.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
No |
2,041 |
0.210 |
$428.58 |
$-48.63 |
-10.2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
478 |
0.805 |
$384.69 |
$9.25 |
+2.5% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
916 |
0.415 |
$379.98 |
$-4.58 |
-1.2% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
Yes |
800 |
0.460 |
$368.00 |
$8.00 |
+2.2% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
362 |
0.885 |
$320.39 |
$77.83 |
+32.1% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
396 |
0.770 |
$304.60 |
$-11.87 |
-3.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
800 |
0.365 |
$292.08 |
$-76.02 |
-20.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
2,004 |
0.145 |
$290.63 |
$-230.50 |
-44.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
370 |
0.710 |
$262.38 |
$11.09 |
+4.4% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
317 |
0.620 |
$196.80 |
$-41.26 |
-17.3% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? |
No |
307 |
0.535 |
$164.24 |
$-4.60 |
-2.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
666 |
0.235 |
$156.40 |
$-56.57 |
-26.6% |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? |
No |
214 |
0.725 |
$155.27 |
$3.21 |
+2.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
909 |
0.165 |
$149.94 |
$-140.85 |
-48.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? |
No |
154 |
0.840 |
$129.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? |
No |
282 |
0.440 |
$123.92 |
$-59.14 |
-32.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
122 |
0.835 |
$101.60 |
$-5.48 |
-5.1% |
| Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? |
No |
182 |
0.520 |
$94.68 |
$18.21 |
+23.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.440 |
$88.00 |
$-4.00 |
-4.3% |