| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
52 |
0.886 |
$46.35 |
$2.12 |
+4.8% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
53 |
0.852 |
$45.41 |
$3.73 |
+9.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
55 |
0.816 |
$44.85 |
$0.69 |
+1.6% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
298 |
0.146 |
$43.64 |
$-2.33 |
-5.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
66 |
0.645 |
$42.51 |
$1.65 |
+4.0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
48 |
0.855 |
$41.34 |
$3.14 |
+8.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
55 |
0.745 |
$41.30 |
$1.94 |
+4.9% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
197 |
0.209 |
$41.30 |
$1.49 |
+3.7% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
44 |
0.923 |
$40.53 |
$-0.33 |
-0.8% |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
No |
43 |
0.933 |
$40.41 |
$-0.24 |
-0.6% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
42 |
0.948 |
$40.07 |
$-0.02 |
-0.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
87 |
0.460 |
$40.00 |
$0.48 |
+1.2% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
41 |
0.962 |
$39.71 |
$-0.10 |
-0.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
41 |
0.960 |
$39.56 |
$0.04 |
+0.1% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
41 |
0.963 |
$39.16 |
$0.26 |
+0.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
41 |
0.957 |
$39.00 |
$0.10 |
+0.3% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.945 |
$37.67 |
$-0.20 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
43 |
0.865 |
$37.13 |
$-1.07 |
-2.8% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
27 |
0.977 |
$26.00 |
$0.23 |
+0.9% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
20 |
0.926 |
$18.55 |
$0.21 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
13 |
0.865 |
$11.37 |
$0.07 |
+0.6% |