| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
No |
999 |
0.125 |
$124.91 |
$-14.99 |
-10.7% |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
14,424 |
0.004 |
$50.49 |
$21.64 |
+75.0% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
1,273 |
0.036 |
$46.46 |
$5.73 |
+14.1% |
| Will Gary Oldman – “Slow Horses” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? |
No |
35 |
0.969 |
$34.04 |
$0.29 |
+0.9% |
| Will Sterling K. Brown – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? |
No |
35 |
0.968 |
$34.03 |
$-0.42 |
-1.2% |
| Will Mark Ruffalo – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series? |
No |
35 |
0.967 |
$33.97 |
$0.55 |
+1.6% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? |
Yes |
49 |
0.625 |
$30.68 |
$3.90 |
+14.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? |
Yes |
56 |
0.415 |
$23.17 |
$8.21 |
+54.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? |
Yes |
56 |
0.345 |
$19.26 |
$-0.42 |
-2.1% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? |
Yes |
49 |
0.365 |
$17.91 |
$0.86 |
+5.0% |
| Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Clacton by-election? |
No |
15 |
1.000 |
$14.99 |
$0.02 |
+0.1% |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
174 |
0.085 |
$14.75 |
$-14.75 |
-50.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? |
No |
15 |
0.967 |
$14.51 |
$-0.34 |
-2.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin? |
No |
15 |
0.991 |
$14.42 |
$0.44 |
+3.2% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July? |
No |
13 |
1.000 |
$12.99 |
$0.64 |
+5.2% |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
30 |
0.430 |
$12.78 |
$7.14 |
+126.3% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? |
No |
15 |
0.849 |
$12.73 |
$-2.23 |
-14.9% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? |
No |
13 |
0.920 |
$11.96 |
$0.13 |
+1.1% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? |
No |
13 |
0.900 |
$11.70 |
$-0.65 |
-5.3% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? |
No |
13 |
0.890 |
$11.57 |
$-0.65 |
-5.3% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
30 |
0.375 |
$11.15 |
$4.71 |
+73.2% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? |
No |
13 |
0.840 |
$10.92 |
$-0.52 |
-4.5% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? |
No |
13 |
0.835 |
$10.86 |
$0.46 |
+4.4% |
| Will Chase Infiniti – “The Testaments” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? |
No |
10 |
0.990 |
$9.90 |
$4.05 |
+69.2% |
| Will Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? |
No |
10 |
0.984 |
$9.84 |
$-0.15 |
-1.6% |