| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
900 |
0.977 |
$879.30 |
$61.50 |
+7.5% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,055 |
0.830 |
$875.63 |
$139.30 |
+18.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
800 |
0.967 |
$773.60 |
$132.60 |
+20.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
857 |
0.745 |
$638.44 |
$230.07 |
+56.3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
600 |
0.982 |
$588.90 |
$46.85 |
+8.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
625 |
0.925 |
$578.28 |
$103.85 |
+21.9% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
721 |
0.785 |
$566.30 |
$256.53 |
+82.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
636 |
0.835 |
$530.89 |
$60.89 |
+13.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
550 |
0.930 |
$511.50 |
$43.00 |
+9.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
440 |
0.976 |
$429.04 |
$34.73 |
+8.8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
280 |
0.895 |
$250.60 |
$76.40 |
+43.9% |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.964 |
$192.78 |
$10.80 |
+5.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.375 |
$187.50 |
$-6.50 |
-3.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.635 |
$127.00 |
$-1.00 |
-0.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.615 |
$123.00 |
$-3.00 |
-2.4% |