| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
4,284 |
0.997 |
$4,269.32 |
$2,127.16 |
+99.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
221 |
0.515 |
$113.95 |
$24.87 |
+27.9% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
180 |
0.580 |
$104.36 |
$-7.44 |
-6.7% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
125 |
0.490 |
$61.40 |
$-0.97 |
-1.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
65 |
0.685 |
$44.82 |
$2.94 |
+7.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
74 |
0.455 |
$33.68 |
$13.81 |
+69.5% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
No |
65 |
0.375 |
$24.25 |
$0.67 |
+2.9% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
37 |
0.465 |
$17.06 |
$-0.60 |
-3.4% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
30 |
0.510 |
$15.08 |
$3.23 |
+27.3% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,284 |
0.004 |
$15.00 |
$-2,127.16 |
-99.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
63 |
0.225 |
$14.22 |
$7.18 |
+102.0% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
Yes |
30 |
0.295 |
$8.99 |
$1.37 |
+18.0% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.886 |
$6.52 |
$1.46 |
+28.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
20 |
0.325 |
$6.48 |
$5.77 |
+810.0% |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
5 |
0.998 |
$4.99 |
$0.01 |
+0.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.966 |
$4.83 |
$0.83 |
+20.8% |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? |
No |
5 |
0.952 |
$4.76 |
$0.36 |
+8.1% |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats? |
Yes |
5 |
0.895 |
$4.46 |
$0.37 |
+9.1% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
5 |
0.875 |
$4.38 |
$-0.07 |
-1.7% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.860 |
$4.30 |
$0.75 |
+21.1% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.839 |
$4.20 |
$0.05 |
+1.2% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
65 |
0.055 |
$3.57 |
$-6.12 |
-63.2% |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? |
Yes |
6 |
0.580 |
$3.49 |
$1.92 |
+122.3% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.625 |
$3.13 |
$-0.12 |
-3.8% |
| What will be the next Fed rate change? |
Hike |
5 |
0.580 |
$2.90 |
$0.10 |
+3.6% |