0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a
0xe639e41094bbeae18f3e6d1790c17299183f082a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$109,137
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$9,750
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
5%
61W / 1,180L · 76 open
Win Return (30d)
10%
137W / 1,180L
Trades (30d)
1,317
across 10 markets · ~132 per market
EV / position
−$18,189.50
avg win $871 · loss $37,250
Profit Factor
0.02
$2,612 won / $111,749 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $80,791 · all-time $44,755,583
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
620,024 |
0.985 |
$610,413.34 |
$8,692.73 |
+1.4% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
No |
26,022 |
0.890 |
$23,159.55 |
$396.34 |
+1.7% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
19,010 |
0.955 |
$18,154.11 |
$665.22 |
+3.8% |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
No |
10,000 |
0.994 |
$9,934.99 |
$45.00 |
+0.5% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
697 |
0.991 |
$690.20 |
$0.35 |
+0.1% |