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Trader

0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,538
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$175
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-30.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
1W / 2L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
25%
1W / 3L
Trades (30d)
4
across 3 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$768.80
avg win $181 · loss $1,719
Profit Factor
0.11
$181 won / $1,719 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $7,146,131

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 77.1% 37W/11L 34 $92,655
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $281
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $281

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? Yes 738 0.490 $361.59 $-138.41 -27.7%
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No 123 0.938 $115.80 $15.80 +15.8%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No 120 0.940 $112.91 $12.91 +12.9%
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes 832 0.079 $65.76 $-34.24 -34.2%
China coup attempt before 2027? No 32 0.970 $30.98 $0.98 +3.3%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No 33 0.920 $30.67 $5.67 +22.7%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 557 0.055 $30.65 $-69.35 -69.4%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No 32 0.959 $30.59 $0.59 +2.0%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No 32 0.915 $29.20 $-0.80 -2.7%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No 24 0.885 $21.33 $1.33 +6.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat? Yes 22 0.958 $21.05 $1.05 +5.3%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 21 0.978 $20.75 $0.75 +3.8%
NATO dissolves before 2027? No 21 0.976 $20.55 $0.55 +2.7%
Blue wave in 2026? Yes 27 0.745 $20.41 $0.41 +2.1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 21 0.981 $20.38 $0.38 +1.9%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 21 0.977 $20.35 $0.35 +1.8%
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No 21 0.975 $20.30 $0.30 +1.5%
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? No 21 0.965 $20.27 $0.27 +1.4%
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No 12 0.915 $11.16 $1.16 +11.6%
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes 11 0.983 $10.92 $0.92 +9.2%
SBF released from custody in 2026? No 11 0.957 $10.88 $0.88 +8.8%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 11 0.963 $10.84 $0.84 +8.4%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 12 0.915 $10.76 $0.76 +7.6%
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No 11 0.966 $10.48 $0.48 +4.8%
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? No 11 0.943 $10.25 $0.25 +2.5%