PnL (30d)

−$207

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1,703

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

34%

61W / 117L · 66 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

99W / 145L

Trades (30d)

244

across 100 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$2.83

avg win $469 · loss $146

Profit Factor

0.97

$7,981 won / $8,188 lost

Reward / Risk

3.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$440

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	34.3% 61W/117L	100	$47,836
💵 Economy	37.5% 3W/5L	4	$442
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/4L	3	$399
🤖 Tech	—	2	$201
🔬 Science	—	2	$201
⚽ Sports	—	1	$591
🎬 Culture	—	1	$591
₿ Crypto	—	1	$197

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	3,608	0.540	$1,950.20	$1,184.45	+154.7%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	2,000	0.330	$660.00	$68.60	+11.6%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	1,844	0.265	$488.72	$125.59	+34.6%
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?	Yes	1,276	0.250	$318.95	$-181.05	-36.2%
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	Yes	358	0.560	$200.50	$3.10	+1.6%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	Yes	3,448	0.054	$186.21	$86.21	+86.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	777	0.152	$118.07	$-87.79	-42.6%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	Yes	911	0.095	$86.54	$-13.46	-13.5%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?	Yes	2,943	0.024	$69.15	$-30.91	-30.9%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,772	0.015	$25.69	$-274.31	-91.4%