| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
6,500 |
0.835 |
$5,427.48 |
$879.55 |
+19.3% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
4,000 |
0.865 |
$3,459.97 |
$1,136.02 |
+48.9% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,583 |
0.905 |
$3,242.52 |
$1,086.12 |
+50.4% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,500 |
0.915 |
$3,202.50 |
$177.50 |
+5.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
3,500 |
0.840 |
$2,940.00 |
$-105.00 |
-3.4% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
3,033 |
0.875 |
$2,654.17 |
$80.84 |
+3.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
2,500 |
0.905 |
$2,262.50 |
$462.50 |
+25.7% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
2,100 |
0.905 |
$1,900.50 |
$385.50 |
+25.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.935 |
$1,869.97 |
$679.99 |
+57.1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.900 |
$1,799.96 |
$230.00 |
+14.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.755 |
$1,509.99 |
$-120.00 |
-7.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.963 |
$1,443.75 |
$193.75 |
+15.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,600 |
0.853 |
$1,364.00 |
$268.00 |
+24.5% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.905 |
$1,357.50 |
$247.50 |
+22.3% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
1,499 |
0.895 |
$1,341.18 |
$192.36 |
+16.7% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
1,631 |
0.685 |
$1,117.52 |
$88.92 |
+8.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,300 |
0.845 |
$1,098.49 |
$204.50 |
+22.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
1,200 |
0.855 |
$1,025.99 |
$198.00 |
+23.9% |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
Yes |
7,162 |
0.140 |
$1,002.69 |
$-2,873.56 |
-74.1% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.625 |
$937.50 |
$-67.50 |
-6.7% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.935 |
$935.00 |
$45.00 |
+5.1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
1,200 |
0.745 |
$894.00 |
$182.00 |
+25.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.865 |
$864.99 |
$55.00 |
+6.8% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
800 |
0.925 |
$740.00 |
$172.00 |
+30.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.675 |
$674.99 |
$35.00 |
+5.5% |