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Trader

0xe5b1377410ddd77dc3bf6fd5172e13fdc31330b2
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$46
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+10.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
34W / 20L
Win Return (30d)
63%
34W / 20L
Trades (30d)
54
across 33 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.38
avg win $5 · loss $6
Profit Factor
1.65
$116 won / $70 lost
Reward / Risk
0.83
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,769 · all-time $477,302

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.6% 2,096W/1,964L 2265 $46,976
⚽ Sports 63.3% 69W/40L 95 $1,315
🏛 Politics 5 $70
₿ Crypto 100.0% 3W/0L 3 $18
🤖 Tech 1 $16

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

61 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Uran Satybaldiev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) Uran Satybaldiev 141 0.500 $70.37 $1.91 +2.8%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 68 0.994 $67.56 $0.31 +0.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? Yes 74 0.645 $47.73 $22.57 +89.7%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 37 0.968 $35.80 $0.16 +0.5%
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 50 0.645 $32.25 $1.05 +3.4%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 28 0.978 $27.37 $0.18 +0.7%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? Yes 36 0.730 $26.49 $-0.73 -2.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 31 0.825 $25.57 $0.46 +1.9%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 25 0.985 $24.61 $-0.11 -0.4%
Set Handicap: Sherif (-1.5) vs Korpatsch (+1.5) Korpatsch 49 0.500 $24.50 $-0.49 -2.0%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group Hanwha Life Esports 48 0.495 $23.76 $-1.20 -4.8%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 25 0.925 $23.12 $2.38 +11.4%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group Dplus KIA 43 0.485 $20.86 $-0.64 -3.0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 20 0.999 $19.97 $0.39 +2.0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 20 0.983 $19.66 $0.06 +0.3%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 20 0.971 $19.41 $-0.01 -0.1%
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No 21 0.795 $16.76 $-0.35 -2.0%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 18 0.855 $15.39 $0.81 +5.6%
Set 2 Winner: Korneeva vs Kudermetova Kudermetova 30 0.500 $15.00 $0.00 +0.0%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 15 1.000 $14.99 $5.39 +56.2%
Set Handicap: Arnaldi (-1.5) vs Musetti (+1.5) Musetti 29 0.500 $14.50 $-0.29 -2.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat? No 15 0.895 $13.43 $0.07 +0.6%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 88 0.145 $12.76 $-0.97 -7.1%
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision? No 15 0.850 $12.75 $0.30 +2.4%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes 18 0.685 $12.33 $0.27 +2.2%