PnL (30d)

−$232

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$14

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-7.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

66%

69W / 35L · 12 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

80W / 36L

Trades (30d)

116

across 69 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$4.00

avg win $9 · loss $53

Profit Factor

0.64

$408 won / $640 lost

Reward / Risk

0.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$509

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	76.3% 193W/60L	151	$14,325
🏛 Politics	54.2% 13W/11L	26	$1,894
🎬 Culture	54.2% 13W/11L	26	$1,894

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	801	0.425	$340.43	$309.62	+1005.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,001	0.255	$255.26	$216.76	+563.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,001	0.175	$175.18	$136.68	+355.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,001	0.075	$75.08	$36.58	+95.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,001	0.018	$17.52	$-20.98	-54.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	801	0.021	$16.82	$-13.99	-45.4%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.209	$10.56	$10.17	+2582.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.135	$6.78	$6.39	+1621.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.117	$5.87	$5.48	+1391.5%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	800	0.006	$5.20	$-25.57	-83.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.088	$4.46	$4.07	+1033.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.044	$2.24	$1.85	+469.7%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	801	0.003	$2.00	$-28.80	-93.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.025	$1.28	$0.89	+225.2%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.025	$1.23	$0.84	+213.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.022	$1.12	$-0.07	-6.2%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,001	0.001	$1.00	$-37.50	-97.4%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.015	$0.76	$0.36	+92.0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.013	$0.63	$0.24	+60.0%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,001	0.001	$0.50	$-38.00	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,001	0.001	$0.50	$-38.00	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,001	0.001	$0.50	$-38.00	-98.7%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.009	$0.48	$0.09	+21.6%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	712	0.001	$0.36	$-27.01	-98.7%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50	0.003	$0.13	$-0.27	-68.0%