| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
No |
8,500 |
0.535 |
$4,547.47 |
$-862.45 |
-15.9% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
7,897 |
0.515 |
$4,067.18 |
$197.44 |
+5.1% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
2,500 |
0.905 |
$2,262.49 |
$427.50 |
+23.3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.978 |
$1,955.00 |
$-3.00 |
-0.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
2,000 |
0.973 |
$1,946.00 |
$38.00 |
+2.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.865 |
$1,729.97 |
$140.02 |
+8.8% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
No |
4,050 |
0.415 |
$1,680.75 |
$-515.24 |
-23.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
3,000 |
0.535 |
$1,604.99 |
$330.00 |
+25.9% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
2,000 |
0.461 |
$921.00 |
$-247.00 |
-21.1% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.885 |
$884.99 |
$215.00 |
+32.1% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
1,500 |
0.375 |
$562.49 |
$-427.49 |
-43.2% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
4,000 |
0.135 |
$540.00 |
$-379.69 |
-41.3% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.175 |
$262.50 |
$-787.50 |
-75.0% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
235 |
0.863 |
$202.92 |
$9.41 |
+4.9% |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? |
Yes |
209 |
0.555 |
$115.73 |
$51.09 |
+79.0% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,099 |
0.005 |
$15.49 |
$-3,043.61 |
-99.5% |