| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.575 |
$115.00 |
$-29.00 |
-20.1% |
| Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.520 |
$104.00 |
$-48.00 |
-31.6% |
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? |
Yes |
146 |
0.665 |
$96.80 |
$-15.28 |
-13.6% |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.640 |
$96.00 |
$-22.50 |
-19.0% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? |
Yes |
180 |
0.512 |
$92.25 |
$-25.47 |
-21.6% |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
No |
150 |
0.595 |
$89.25 |
$-9.75 |
-9.8% |
| Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.445 |
$89.00 |
$-35.00 |
-28.2% |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? |
No |
122 |
0.695 |
$84.58 |
$-11.57 |
-12.0% |
| Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
125 |
0.670 |
$83.75 |
$-6.25 |
-6.9% |
| Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? |
No |
120 |
0.645 |
$77.40 |
$-18.60 |
-19.4% |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? |
Yes |
200 |
0.330 |
$66.00 |
$-36.55 |
-35.6% |
| Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee? |
No |
100 |
0.620 |
$62.00 |
$-14.00 |
-18.4% |
| Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? |
Yes |
175 |
0.350 |
$61.25 |
$-56.00 |
-47.8% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.275 |
$55.00 |
$-59.00 |
-51.8% |
| Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3? |
No |
200 |
0.275 |
$55.00 |
$-37.00 |
-40.2% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? |
No |
150 |
0.356 |
$53.48 |
$-53.17 |
-49.9% |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? |
Yes |
200 |
0.265 |
$53.00 |
$-45.00 |
-45.9% |
| Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
No |
150 |
0.350 |
$52.50 |
$-33.00 |
-38.6% |
| Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? |
Yes |
70 |
0.745 |
$52.15 |
$-7.35 |
-12.4% |
| Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? |
Yes |
80 |
0.625 |
$50.00 |
$-17.20 |
-25.6% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.240 |
$48.00 |
$-16.00 |
-25.0% |
| Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? |
Yes |
108 |
0.385 |
$41.67 |
$-2.71 |
-6.1% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? |
Yes |
200 |
0.203 |
$40.68 |
$-21.32 |
-34.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? |
No |
90 |
0.435 |
$39.15 |
$-28.35 |
-42.0% |
| Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%? |
Yes |
140 |
0.275 |
$38.50 |
$-27.30 |
-41.5% |