| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
No |
840 |
0.845 |
$709.80 |
$407.40 |
+134.7% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? |
No |
586 |
0.845 |
$495.31 |
$84.99 |
+20.7% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
845 |
0.585 |
$494.32 |
$-29.57 |
-5.6% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
Yes |
800 |
0.560 |
$448.00 |
$-40.00 |
-8.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? |
No |
600 |
0.650 |
$390.00 |
$12.00 |
+3.2% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
No |
400 |
0.915 |
$366.09 |
$206.03 |
+128.7% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
No |
378 |
0.920 |
$347.80 |
$127.47 |
+57.9% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,541 |
0.220 |
$339.02 |
$-39.72 |
-10.5% |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? |
No |
279 |
0.670 |
$187.06 |
$5.58 |
+3.1% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? |
Yes |
842 |
0.160 |
$134.72 |
$-14.81 |
-9.9% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? |
No |
89 |
0.940 |
$83.56 |
$34.67 |
+70.9% |
| Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? |
No |
80 |
0.725 |
$58.00 |
$4.40 |
+8.2% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
No |
58 |
0.805 |
$46.67 |
$13.62 |
+41.2% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
471 |
0.086 |
$40.25 |
$-45.27 |
-52.9% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.975 |
$19.49 |
$0.35 |
+1.8% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
329 |
0.026 |
$8.55 |
$-11.19 |
-56.7% |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
75 |
0.064 |
$4.76 |
$0.80 |
+20.2% |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
575 |
0.004 |
$2.59 |
$-5.46 |
-67.9% |
| Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.125 |
$1.67 |
$0.60 |
+56.2% |