PnL (30d)

−$1

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-2.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

45%

5W / 6L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

5W / 6L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

13

across 9 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.15

avg win $1 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.76

$4 won / $5 lost

Reward / Risk

0.76

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	54.7% 493W/408L	612	$42,608
⚽ Sports	43.1% 90W/119L	168	$7,433
💵 Economy	—	9	$513
🎬 Culture	—	7	$391
🏛 Politics	—	6	$292
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/4L	2	$31
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

120 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Modena FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Draw at halftime?	Yes	662	0.984	$651.08	$2.32	+0.4%
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-06?	Yes	300	0.895	$268.50	$4.50	+1.7%
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	Yes	315	0.845	$266.17	$46.73	+21.3%
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	300	0.730	$219.00	$15.00	+7.4%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	Yes	430	0.370	$159.10	$-27.40	-14.7%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?	Yes	430	0.230	$98.90	$-13.10	-11.7%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?	Yes	430	0.225	$96.75	$18.34	+23.4%
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	180	0.510	$91.80	$19.80	+27.5%
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-06?	Yes	95	0.825	$78.38	$-2.38	-2.9%
Will AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio win on 2026-08-05?	No	64	0.963	$61.63	$0.83	+1.4%
Will Lazio Rome vs. AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio end in a draw?	No	64	0.960	$61.44	$4.94	+8.7%
Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-08-06?	No	58	0.965	$55.97	$-0.29	-0.5%
Will FC Lugano vs. NSÍ Runavík end in a draw?	No	58	0.925	$53.65	$4.35	+8.8%
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	97	0.515	$49.95	$13.27	+36.2%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31?	Yes	430	0.113	$48.38	$21.81	+82.1%
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	Yes	315	0.145	$45.67	$-21.36	-31.9%
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	97	0.465	$45.10	$0.13	+0.3%
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	300	0.135	$40.50	$-22.50	-35.7%
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?	Yes	80	0.490	$39.20	$16.80	+75.0%
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision?	Yes	45	0.840	$37.80	$-1.35	-3.4%
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	180	0.195	$35.10	$6.30	+21.9%
Club Bolívar to win the second half?	Yes	41	0.740	$30.34	$3.28	+12.1%
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?	Yes	80	0.310	$24.80	$5.12	+26.0%
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	180	0.135	$24.30	$-20.70	-46.0%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	70	0.335	$23.45	$10.85	+86.1%