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Trader leaderboard/Machaon

Machaon

0xe3e4bded348f8608f322a598c19dbb3c42878d04
PnL (30d)
+$6,646
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+88.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
82%
261W / 58L · 109 open
Win Return (30d)
86%
369W / 59L
Trades (30d)
428
across 18 markets · ~24 per market
EV / position
+$474.72
avg win $1,985 · loss $658
Profit Factor
2.26
$11,913 won / $5,267 lost
Reward / Risk
3.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$262
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $563 · all-time $1,927,204

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 81.8% 261W/58L 18 $25,322
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/16L 2 $477
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/16L 2 $477
🏛 Politics 2 $66

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 3,000 0.635 $1,905.00 $-75.00 -3.8%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 5,000 0.135 $675.06 $154.87 +29.8%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 2,500 0.261 $651.23 $-151.72 -18.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 2,000 0.278 $555.00 $80.01 +16.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,500 0.184 $276.75 $-67.25 -19.5%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes 1,000 0.210 $210.00 $-110.00 -34.4%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes 6,982 0.025 $177.34 $4.51 +2.6%
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes 500 0.275 $137.50 $-92.50 -40.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,000 0.117 $116.50 $-44.50 -27.6%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 5,679 0.019 $110.75 $-144.08 -56.5%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2,000 0.050 $99.00 $-2.00 -2.0%
Discord IPO before 2027? No 84 0.712 $59.41 $27.68 +87.2%
Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026? Yes 200 0.200 $40.00 $4.00 +11.1%
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No 21 0.895 $18.44 $-0.31 -1.6%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? Yes 7 0.091 $0.67 $0.13 +23.6%