Iltangbaek
0xe3de83f80ba5e14545a16a572974a810eac978dd
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$6
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
5W / 0L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
13W / 1L
Trades (30d)
14
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$2.76
avg win $3
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,248 · all-time $59,653
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? |
No |
113 |
0.950 |
$107.23 |
$7.23 |
+7.2% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.825 |
$21.63 |
$1.63 |
+8.1% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
71 |
0.285 |
$20.35 |
$-9.65 |
-32.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
60 |
0.150 |
$9.00 |
$-8.40 |
-48.3% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
Yes |
137 |
0.060 |
$8.20 |
$-5.68 |
-40.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.305 |
$7.89 |
$-7.37 |
-48.3% |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.665 |
$0.93 |
$-0.07 |
-6.6% |