PnL (30d)

+$3

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$167

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

7W / 11L · 28 open

Win Return (30d)

22%

10W / 36L

Trades (30d)

46

across 13 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$0.38

avg win $18 · loss $28

Profit Factor

1.04

$88 won / $85 lost

Reward / Risk

0.62

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	38.9% 7W/11L	13	$6,451
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$144
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$144

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	7,539	0.305	$2,299.45	$-47.01	-2.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	1,429	0.165	$235.71	$135.72	+135.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	296	0.160	$47.42	$-152.58	-76.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	5	0.461	$2.33	$-0.77	-24.8%