hm-a
0xe393b4c4d81ec9f4e32bc27040419da241908364
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
62%
8W / 5L
Trades (30d)
13
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $908 · all-time $28,398
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? |
Yes |
171 |
0.280 |
$47.97 |
$-19.26 |
-28.6% |
| Discord IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
138 |
0.295 |
$40.74 |
$0.24 |
+0.6% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
228 |
0.165 |
$37.55 |
$0.17 |
+0.4% |
| SHEIN IPO before 2027? |
No |
316 |
0.109 |
$34.49 |
$-4.77 |
-12.2% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? |
No |
30 |
0.720 |
$21.60 |
$4.80 |
+28.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
40 |
0.535 |
$21.40 |
$5.60 |
+35.4% |
| Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.805 |
$16.10 |
$2.50 |
+18.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
20 |
0.485 |
$9.70 |
$-0.80 |
-7.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
20 |
0.465 |
$9.30 |
$-1.00 |
-9.7% |
| Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? |
Yes |
60 |
0.100 |
$5.97 |
$-2.63 |
-30.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
38 |
0.140 |
$5.32 |
$-3.89 |
-42.2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
100 |
0.017 |
$1.65 |
$-2.65 |
-61.6% |