PnL (30d)

+$3,260

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$5,890

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+12.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

81%

420W / 97L · 735 open

Win Return (30d)

84%

1,056W / 195L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

1,252

across 211 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$40.25

avg win $59 · loss $13

Profit Factor

12.93

$3,534 won / $273 lost

Reward / Risk

4.52

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$65

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	81.2% 420W/97L	211	$57,519
⚽ Sports	100.0% 9W/0L	18	$9,186
💵 Economy	58.3% 7W/5L	15	$3,159
🎬 Culture	100.0% 27W/0L	14	$4,827
🏛 Politics	100.0% 11W/0L	10	$4,713
🤖 Tech	100.0% 5W/0L	3	$484

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	224	0.935	$209.66	$70.69	+50.9%
Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	218	0.961	$209.39	$72.68	+53.2%
Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	198	0.885	$175.23	$60.52	+52.8%
Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	203	0.820	$166.46	$69.40	+71.5%
Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	163	0.920	$149.96	$54.79	+57.6%
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	210	0.675	$141.75	$33.55	+31.0%
Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	170	0.825	$140.62	$57.82	+69.8%
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	146	0.920	$134.17	$64.89	+93.6%
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	164	0.725	$118.90	$37.90	+46.8%
Will HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	126	0.935	$117.81	$33.35	+39.5%
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas?	Yes	399	0.280	$111.77	$-7.08	-6.0%
Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	124	0.885	$109.74	$42.35	+62.8%
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	141	0.765	$107.86	$20.36	+23.3%
Will ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	105	0.950	$99.75	$42.29	+73.6%
Will Virgin Galactic Hldgs (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	108	0.855	$91.99	$21.56	+30.6%
Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	108	0.850	$91.80	$25.33	+38.1%
Will New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	90	0.938	$84.35	$31.56	+59.8%
Will Akamai Techs (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	98	0.805	$78.89	$24.15	+44.1%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	310	0.232	$71.92	$22.06	+44.2%
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	100	0.670	$67.00	$43.00	+179.2%
Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	138	0.385	$53.13	$11.77	+28.4%
Will Papa John's International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	100	0.525	$52.50	$4.50	+9.4%
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	171	0.300	$51.37	$-13.90	-21.3%
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	1,679	0.028	$47.03	$-67.21	-58.8%
Will Hertz (HTZ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	78	0.515	$40.29	$-0.84	-2.0%