| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
50,107 |
0.790 |
$39,609.58 |
$14,556.08 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
50,107 |
0.209 |
$10,497.42 |
$-14,556.08 |
-58.1% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
Yes |
999 |
0.915 |
$914.09 |
$682.22 |
+294.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,031 |
0.645 |
$665.03 |
$541.00 |
+436.2% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.635 |
$635.01 |
$298.06 |
+88.5% |
| Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? |
Yes |
586 |
0.970 |
$568.42 |
$312.26 |
+121.9% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
445 |
1.000 |
$444.95 |
$375.36 |
+539.4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
584 |
0.640 |
$373.76 |
$240.66 |
+180.8% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.353 |
$353.50 |
$-146.50 |
-29.3% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
588 |
0.539 |
$317.31 |
$252.48 |
+389.4% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
750 |
0.395 |
$296.25 |
$192.34 |
+185.1% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
342 |
0.861 |
$294.46 |
$175.10 |
+146.7% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
411 |
0.716 |
$294.29 |
$262.52 |
+826.3% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
299 |
0.983 |
$293.85 |
$285.05 |
+3240.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,031 |
0.270 |
$278.39 |
$127.11 |
+84.0% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
930 |
0.254 |
$236.23 |
$143.81 |
+155.6% |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
559 |
0.385 |
$215.36 |
$195.38 |
+978.0% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? |
Yes |
247 |
0.825 |
$203.77 |
$144.93 |
+246.3% |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? |
Yes |
740 |
0.275 |
$203.41 |
$161.12 |
+380.9% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? |
Yes |
248 |
0.741 |
$183.92 |
$130.61 |
+245.0% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? |
Yes |
251 |
0.705 |
$176.92 |
$51.45 |
+41.0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
471 |
0.371 |
$175.08 |
$162.86 |
+1333.1% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
409 |
0.425 |
$173.64 |
$102.85 |
+145.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat? |
Yes |
200 |
0.865 |
$173.00 |
$119.59 |
+223.9% |
| Will Trump deport 400-500k people? |
Yes |
279 |
0.605 |
$168.71 |
$130.64 |
+343.2% |