Late4CakeJohn
0xe3164027a2be859579fcd84fce34513f0bc9bcf9
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$16
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
39W / 0L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
40W / 0L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
43
across 28 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.65
avg win $1
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,744 · all-time $183,005
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 5? |
No |
228 |
1.000 |
$227.88 |
$0.57 |
+0.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
228 |
1.000 |
$227.70 |
$0.34 |
+0.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on August 5? |
No |
228 |
1.000 |
$227.70 |
$0.34 |
+0.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 5? |
No |
229 |
0.996 |
$227.54 |
$-0.57 |
-0.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
No |
225 |
1.000 |
$224.57 |
$0.34 |
+0.2% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group |
Dplus KIA Challengers |
224 |
1.000 |
$224.34 |
$0.56 |
+0.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
No |
231 |
0.966 |
$222.89 |
$-1.38 |
-0.6% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner |
Nongshim Esports Academy |
11 |
1.000 |
$11.24 |
$0.07 |
+0.7% |