PnL (30d)

+$4,866

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$488

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

113W / 244L · 192 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

210W / 339L

Trades (30d)

549

across 42 markets · ~13 per market

EV / position

+$180.23

avg win $2,146 · loss $648

Profit Factor

1.40

$17,172 won / $12,305 lost

Reward / Risk

3.31

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4,518

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.7% 113W/244L	42	$91,868
🎬 Culture	73.6% 53W/19L	13	$49,344
🏛 Politics	100.0% 23W/0L	1	$7,217
💵 Economy	100.0% 23W/0L	1	$7,217

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	9,339	0.805	$7,522.23	$1,702.60	+29.3%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?	No	4,578	0.770	$3,524.74	$499.16	+16.5%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	Yes	2,619	0.385	$1,008.12	$-65.99	-6.1%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	5,330	0.165	$879.42	$-1,896.97	-68.3%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	2,232	0.365	$814.77	$-9.63	-1.2%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?	Yes	2,445	0.220	$537.94	$-142.69	-21.0%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	1,346	0.380	$511.49	$85.80	+20.2%
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31?	Yes	248	0.121	$29.98	$-1.09	-3.5%
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	1,647	0.005	$8.23	$-1,062.32	-99.2%
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	150	0.009	$1.27	$-1.25	-49.6%