| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
813 |
0.040 |
$32.12 |
$-37.45 |
-53.8% |
| StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? |
Yes |
47 |
0.029 |
$1.38 |
$0.34 |
+33.1% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
87 |
0.011 |
$1.00 |
$-1.97 |
-66.4% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
105 |
0.006 |
$0.68 |
$-0.37 |
-35.0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
88 |
0.007 |
$0.66 |
$-0.39 |
-37.5% |
| Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
55 |
0.009 |
$0.47 |
$-0.58 |
-55.3% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
99 |
0.004 |
$0.44 |
$-0.94 |
-67.9% |
| StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? |
Yes |
14 |
0.029 |
$0.40 |
$0.29 |
+262.4% |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
Yes |
2 |
0.135 |
$0.31 |
$0.08 |
+35.0% |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
Yes |
10 |
0.029 |
$0.31 |
$-0.07 |
-18.0% |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
5 |
0.065 |
$0.30 |
$-0.07 |
-18.8% |
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
81 |
0.003 |
$0.20 |
$-0.83 |
-80.4% |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
5 |
0.035 |
$0.19 |
$-0.19 |
-50.0% |
| Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
105 |
0.002 |
$0.16 |
$-0.89 |
-85.0% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
25 |
0.004 |
$0.11 |
$-0.24 |
-67.9% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
23 |
0.004 |
$0.11 |
$-0.16 |
-60.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
12 |
0.009 |
$0.10 |
$-0.09 |
-46.9% |
| Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.004 |
$0.10 |
$-0.10 |
-50.0% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
48 |
0.002 |
$0.10 |
$-0.24 |
-71.4% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? |
Yes |
2 |
0.060 |
$0.09 |
$-0.06 |
-40.0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
175 |
0.001 |
$0.09 |
$-0.96 |
-91.7% |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? |
Yes |
50 |
0.002 |
$0.07 |
$-0.93 |
-92.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.013 |
$0.05 |
$-0.03 |
-32.6% |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? |
Yes |
2 |
0.033 |
$0.05 |
$-0.10 |
-67.5% |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
1 |
0.037 |
$0.04 |
$-0.01 |
-24.8% |