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Trader leaderboard/Risky-MooLa

Risky-MooLa

0xe1d2f456a0bc188cb67615395a3e9a153a8e0ecf
PnL (30d)
−$246
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
1,363W / 1,149L · 110 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
1,369W / 1,158L · 95 open
Trades (30d)
2,622
across 1,283 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.21
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.81
$1,064 won / $1,310 lost
Reward / Risk
0.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,693 · all-time $2,121,036

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.3% 1,363W/1,149L 1283 $34,313
🌤 Weather 41.2% 82W/117L 87 $5,502

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

181 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No 900 0.905 $814.50 $46.00 +6.0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 5? No 101 1.000 $100.96 $0.05 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $100.05 $0.05 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $100.05 $0.05 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $100.05 $0.05 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $100.05 $0.05 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $100.05 $0.05 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on August 5? No 100 1.000 $100.05 $0.05 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 5? No 100 1.000 $100.05 $0.05 +0.0%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? No 97 0.680 $65.65 $-13.52 -17.1%
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No 20 0.945 $18.90 $9.70 +105.4%
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next? Yes 16 0.963 $15.40 $14.60 +1825.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 15 0.945 $14.18 $1.38 +10.7%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 10 0.981 $9.80 $0.15 +1.6%
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No 10 0.981 $9.80 $0.17 +1.8%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes 10 0.963 $9.62 $0.62 +6.9%
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No 10 0.955 $9.55 $1.05 +12.4%
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? Yes 99 0.095 $9.36 $-10.35 -52.5%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 10 0.905 $9.05 $1.05 +13.1%
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 49 0.175 $8.54 $-4.63 -35.2%
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes 18 0.408 $7.18 $5.28 +277.7%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes 100 0.065 $6.50 $-18.50 -74.0%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes 10 0.560 $5.60 $4.60 +460.0%
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B? Yes 10 0.465 $4.65 $4.15 +830.0%
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? Yes 50 0.090 $4.50 $-3.50 -43.8%