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illumination

0xe1b5920c9d192a7cb74887529ea6caa640928378
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
8W / 0L
Trades (30d)
8
across 2 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,101 · all-time $304,980

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 3 $196
🏛 Politics 1 $51
₿ Crypto 1 $33

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes 8,800 0.037 $330.00 $-70.00 -17.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 2,000 0.165 $330.00 $30.00 +10.0%
New pandemic in 2026? Yes 4,000 0.065 $260.00 $30.00 +13.0%
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes 2,500 0.065 $162.50 $-42.49 -20.7%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes 2,500 0.059 $146.25 $-3.75 -2.5%
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 3,200 0.037 $120.00 $-25.00 -17.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 1,500 0.065 $97.50 $-7.50 -7.1%
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 500 0.160 $80.00 $45.00 +128.6%
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes 801 0.085 $68.11 $4.01 +6.2%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 1,600 0.030 $48.00 $-22.90 -32.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes 1,500 0.029 $42.75 $12.75 +42.5%
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes 4,000 0.004 $18.00 $-2.00 -10.0%